AZ States 2012 Preview

Return to Ravnica is finally upon us, and for Standard players, that can only mean one thing: States! Last year saw Adam Prosak claim his fourth States title. But with Adam Prosak gone doing commentary at SCG: Providence this weekend, who will claim this year’s State Champion title? Furthermore, which deck will the State Champion pilot? Let’s go through the decks we will probably see at this year’s States.

One way to get a sneak peek at the new Standard is to look at the current Block Constructed decklists. The most recent premier Block Constructed event was the Magic World Cup in August. Here’s the breakdown of the Stage 2 teams:

  • 12 Jund
  • 2 Reanimator
  • Monoblack
  • Miracles

Given the amazing manabase that Return to Ravnica has given Jund, I doubt Jund will be continue to be a block-only deck. This time around however, you don’t have to fear Bloodbraid Elf into Blightning. On the other hand, you do have to contend with the likes of Huntmaster of the Fells, Thragtusk, and Olivia Voldaren. Jund only proved its strength this past weekend at SCG: Cincinnati, where it put two players into the Top 8. Here’s Lauren Nolen’s decklist:

Creatures (19)
Huntmaster of the Fells
Strangleroot Geist
Thragtusk
Wolfir Avenger
Olivia Voldaren

Spells (17)
Dead Weight
Rakdos Keyrune
Garruk Relentless
Garruk, Primal Hunter
Farseek
Mizzium Mortars
Pillar of Flame
Sever the Bloodline

Lands (24)
Forest
Blood Crypt
Kessig Wolf Run
Overgrown Tomb
Rootbound Crag
Woodland Cemetery
Sideboard (15)
Knight of Infamy
Underworld Connections
Cremate
Golgari Charm
Liliana of the Veil
Appetite for Brains
Mizzium Mortars
Rakdos’s Return

Still looking at the Block Constructed decklists, Reanimator may also be a contender in this new Standard. Return to Ravnica has given the deck Grisly Salvage and the triple Oblivion Ring creature in Angel of Serenity. To no one’s surprise, the manabase also gets a lot better, with the shocklands helping speed up the M13 dual lands, rather impeding them like the Scars of Mirrodin fastlands.

In fact, the last three Magic-League Standard Trials have been dominated by Reanimator. Its strength was only highlighted by its strong finals appearance at SCG: Cincinnati. Here’s the 2nd Place decklist:

Creatures (13)
Angel of Serenity
Centaur Healer
Thragtusk
Griselbrand

Spells (24)
Golgari Charm
Grisly Salvage
Dreadbore
Faithless Looting
Lingering Souls
Mulch
Rolling Temblor
Unburial Rites

Lands (23)
Blood Crypt
Clifftop Retreat
Overgrown Tomb
Rootbound Crag
Sunpetal Grove
Temple Garden
Woodland Cemetery
Sideboard (15)
Centaur Healer
Elderscale Wurm
Rhox Faithmender
Oblivion Ring
Golgari Charm
Ray of Revelation
Vraska the Unseen
Bonfire of the Damned
Duress
Sever the Bloodline

Of course, can we really talk about Innistrad Block and not talk about Zombies? It didn’t make a splash in Block Constructed, but of the top decks of Scars-Innistrad Standard (Birthing Pod, Delver, and Zombies), it lost the least in rotation. In fact, could Return to Ravnica bring even better tools than Scars of Mirrodin’s Mortarpod, Phyrexian Metamorph, and Birthing Pod? It’s probably a safe bet.

The Golgari Guild is essentially tailor-made for Zombies. Lotleth Troll is finally the ever so desired two drop, and Abrupt Decay is undoubtedly an excellent spell, though it’s slightly worse in Standard than it is in Legacy. Dreg Mangler is also an easy snap inclusion.

Zombies has also received some goodies from the Cult of Rakdos. Dreadbore is pretty similar to Abrupt Decay but it can kill Jace, Architect of Thought or Tamiyo, the Moon Sage. Joe Bernal’s take on Rakdos Zombies turns it much more into a Sligh-style deck and aims to kill the opponent as soon as possible, as noted by the Bump in the Nights.

The best part, however, is that these two strategies aren’t mutually exclusive. You could be like SCG: Cincinnati’s Top 8 competitor Ryan Forsberg and combine the best of both worlds, especially since the mana works out so well (once again, not a surprise).

Creatures (29)
Blood Artist
Bloodthrone Vampire
Deathrite Shaman
Diregraf Ghoul
Dreg Mangler
Falkenrath Aristocrat
Geralf’s Messenger
Gravecrawler
Lotleth Troll

Spells (8)
Brimstone Volley
Tragic Slip
Bonfire of the Damned
Dreadbore

Basic Lands (23)
Swamp
Blood Crypt
Cavern of Souls
Dragonskull Summit
Overgrown Tomb
Woodland Cemetery
Sideboard (15)
Deathrite Shaman
Dead Weight
Underworld Connections
Abrupt Decay
Golgari Charm
Rakdos Charm
Vraska the Unseen
Bonfire of the Damned
Dreadbore
Flames of the Firebrand

In addition, the Golgari version of Zombies and the Rakdos version of Zombies also made the Top 8 of the event as well, so the best version of Zombies isn’t exactly clear cut yet (as it shouldn’t be).

GW Aggro, after winning an SCG Open, gained a lot of new tools from the Selesnya Guild, so it is definitely on the radar for States. Mana dorks ramping up into the big, efficient creatures like Loxodon Smiter, Thragtusk, and Sublime Archangel, slapping a Rancor onto them and going to town seems like a winning strategy—and it did! Carrying GW Aggro to the Top 8 of SCG: Cincinnati was Dan Kauffman:

Creatures (29)
Arbor Elf
Avacyn’s Pilgrim
Loxodon Smiter
Silverblade Paladin
Strangleroot Geist
Sublime Archangel
Wolfir Silverheart
Thalia, Guardian of Thraben

Spells (7)
Rancor
Selesnya Charm

Lands (24)
Forest
Plains
Gavony Township
Sunpetal Grove
Temple Garden
Sideboard (15)
Elite Inquisitor
Thragtusk
Triumph of Ferocity
Sigarda, Host of Herons
Garruk Relentless
Revenge of the Hunted

Maindeck-wise, the only surprise probably is no Thragtusk. I can see the logic in it though—you’d rather have a want a big, efficient creature in the 3-drop slot for next turn’s Sublime Archangel or Silverblade Paladin. Thragtusk may be a little too slow to fit that curve, but he does make an appearance in the sideboard.

Speaking of sideboards, Triumph of Ferocity is such a sweet card in this card. It’s an Underworld Connections that costs neither life or mana. With 25+ creatures in such a deck, you’re basically guaranteed to have at least one creature out to fulfill the requirement. The Elite Inquisitor is also an efficient answer to the elephant in the room (or I guess I should say undead).

Lastly, can we talk about Standard without covering the winner of SCG: Cincinnati?

Creatures (2)
Snapcaster Mage

Spells (32)
Detention Sphere
Azorius Charm
Syncopate
Think Twice
Jace, Architect of Thought
Tamiyo, the Moon Sage
Entreat the Angels
Pillar of Flame
Supreme Verdict
Terminus

Lands (26)
Island
Plains
Clifftop Retreat
Desolate Lighthouse
Glacial Fortress
Hallowed Fountain
Steam Vents
Sulfur Falls
Sideboard (15)
Dissipate
Negate
Purify the Grave
Sundering Growth
Geist of Saint Traft
Jace, Memory Adept
Supreme Verdict

Despite the oft-repeated mantra that you shouldn’t play a control deck at the beginning of a rotation, Team StarCityGames brought this list to SCG: Cincinnati…and won. This UWr Miracles deck was certainly metagamed for the predicted deck of the format, Zombies, evidenced by splashing red for just Pillar of Flame. Paired with Terminus, it seems pretty difficult for Zombies to overcome this potential powerhouse of a deck.

Also, Jace, Architect of Thought is now $50. Hmm…

Of course though, States is always a proving ground for brewers, so you should definitely expect to see some awesome new decks. Perhaps a BUG Superfriends deck featuring Jace, Tamiyo, Vraska, and Liliana will dominate, or maybe Lingering Souls/Intangible Virture will make a comeback from its banning in Block to become Public Enemy #1. This is a big opportunity to help shape the coming year’s metagame, so don’t miss out!

Hope to see you all at Arizona States 2012! This time, States is being held at the new Desert Sky Games, located at 2531 S Gilbert Rd Ste 106, Gilbert, AZ. Unfortunately, pre-registrations are closed, but if you want to try and get a spot, showing up at 10:45am to see if any of the pre-registered fail to show is the best way to get into States.

Good luck!

Jason

@mtgtwin1 on Twitter